Sha Tin · 2021-01-01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly H-/TT 1.48.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PROUD SKY Closed strongly V J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 3 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FORCE XB C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE SR2/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 14 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 66.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 7.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 4 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING B/H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE Led early H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ROCKET HAMMER Closed strongly H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT B T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 9 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER V1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 18.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | SKY GEM C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. YES WE CAN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with PROUD SKY second and DRAGON COMMANDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.9 favourite CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 18.4% | 5.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 13.5% | 7.43 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 11.9% | 8.43 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE | 11.2% | 8.93 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 10.1% | 9.88 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 9.7% | 10.33 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 8.0% | 12.57 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 4.3% | 23.23 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 3.8% | 26.33 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 2.7% | 37.08 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 2.3% | 42.75 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 2.0% | 49.59 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 1.5% | 65.91 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.6% | 156.68 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 68
PLACE
3 24.5
7 58.5
14 21.5
QUINELLA
3,14 244.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 270.5
3,14 94
7,14 307
FORECAST
3,14 546
TIERCE
3,14,7 9,428
TRIO
3,7,14 2,096
FIRST 4
1,3,7,14 3,678
QUARTET
3,14,7,1 107,709
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 36
3RD DOUBLE
5/3 373
5/14 74.5