Sha Tin · 2021-01-01
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly 1.21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 1 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 11 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 10 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | E STAR Closed strongly H- N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 9 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PEGASUS GLORY M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 5 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR Led early V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT B-/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 4 | 63.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NOTHING NEW H T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 6 | 170.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT B-/XB/CP2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 13 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SOARING TOWER K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 2.8 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ROYAL BOMB, ridden by C Soumillon and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with BELUGA second and SUNNY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SOARING TOWER finished 14th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA | 19.9% | 5.01 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR | 18.2% | 5.51 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | SOARING TOWER | 14.2% | 7.06 | 14 |
| 4 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 9.5% | 10.48 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 8.0% | 12.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 5.5% | 18.07 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | PEGASUS GLORY | 5.0% | 20.16 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | E STAR | 4.2% | 23.81 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 4.1% | 24.57 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY | 3.4% | 29.75 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 3.1% | 32.74 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 2.2% | 44.51 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.1% | 48.51 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 0.7% | 139.12 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 110
PLACE
7 35.5
10 27
12 25
QUINELLA
7,12 385.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 152.5
7,12 137
10,12 136.5
FORECAST
7,12 755
TIERCE
7,12,10 6,502
TRIO
7,10,12 1,800
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 2,874
QUARTET
7,12,10,1 51,960
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 33.5
A3 —
A1 —
9TH DOUBLE
3/7 246
3/12 50