Sha Tin · 2021-01-01

Race 8

Group 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 8 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION'S WAY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with SKY DARCI second and MIGHTY GIANT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite WINNING DREAMER finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.20.99

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	5	CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly TT 1.20.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size	K Teetan	J Size	2	118 lb	8.7	1-1/4
2	8	SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes	J Moreira	C Fownes	1	115 lb	3.1	1-1/4
3	4	MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B Z Purton · P F Yiu	Z Purton	P F Yiu	4	120 lb	4.9	2
4	3	FAT TURTLE Closed strongly B A Badel · F C Lor	A Badel	F C Lor	3	119 lb	22.0	3-1/2
5	1	KA YING STAR V/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz	C Schofield	A S Cruz	7	133 lb	29.0	4-3/4
6	7	WINNING DREAMER C Y Ho · F C Lor	C Y Ho	F C Lor	5	115 lb	2.6	5-1/4
7	2	BUDDIES H/TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz	C Soumillon	A S Cruz	8	121 lb	10.0	10
8	6	KINGS SHIELD Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor	K C Leung	F C Lor	6	118 lb	67.0	12

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21

The model's top pick SKY DARCI (29.4%) finished 2nd — the winner CHAMPION'S WAY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	8	SKY DARCI	29.4%	3.41	2	3.1
2	7	WINNING DREAMER	27.3%	3.66	6	2.6
3	4	MIGHTY GIANT	16.0%	6.26	3	4.9
4	2	BUDDIES	11.4%	8.74	7	10.0
5	3	FAT TURTLE	4.9%	20.28	4	22.0
6	5	CHAMPION'S WAY	4.2%	23.62	1	8.7
7	1	KA YING STAR	4.0%	25.07	5	29.0
8	6	KINGS SHIELD	2.8%	36.30	8	67.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 87

PLACE

4 15

5 21

8 11

QUINELLA

5,8 123.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 48

4,8 27

5,8 46

FORECAST

5,8 394

TIERCE

5,8,4 1,189

TRIO

4,5,8 185

FIRST 4

3,4,5,8 345

QUARTET

5,8,4,3 9,440

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,13/4,5,8 17,205

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 27.5

A1 —

7TH DOUBLE

7/5 1,232.5

7/8 71

WINNING TRAINER

B1 —

B3 16

B2 —

← Race 7 Race 9 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99