Sha Tin · 2021-01-01
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly H-/B1 1.22.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 5.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP Closed strongly B/H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 2.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LAND POWER Closed strongly K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly CP-/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE Closed strongly M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 13 | 142.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B/BR H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 14 | 181.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR H N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 3 | 53.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | THE BEST HERO Closed strongly H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 10 | 336.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS Led early B/XB C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.5 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 6 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD SHOT XB C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 1 | 8.8 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | HEY PAL B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 48.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | COOLCELEB PC/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 4 | 160.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY GRACE, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with AUTHENTIC CHAMP second and LAND POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite AUTHENTIC CHAMP finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 25.7% | 3.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD SHOT | 12.4% | 8.05 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 10.1% | 9.86 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 9.1% | 11.03 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LAND POWER | 7.3% | 13.63 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HEY PAL | 6.9% | 14.44 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE | 6.4% | 15.67 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 6.0% | 16.54 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS | 5.3% | 18.84 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.44 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | COOLCELEB | 2.5% | 39.84 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE | 2.0% | 50.89 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 1.4% | 69.51 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | THE BEST HERO | 0.7% | 148.29 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 56
PLACE
1 12.5
9 65
11 17
QUINELLA
1,11 67
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 104
1,11 30.5
9,11 208.5
FORECAST
11,1 249
TIERCE
11,1,9 3,248
TRIO
1,9,11 571
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 1,233
QUARTET
11,1,9,12 34,624
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,14/1,9,11 120,966
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 26.5
3/11 473