沙田 · 2021-01-01
第 9場
2021-01-01沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA RAD勝出，贏出N。TEAM SPIRIT獲得亞軍；LOCKHEED獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT 1.09.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.4 | N |
| 2 | 8 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 13 | 88.0 | N |
| 3 | 14 | LOCKHEED B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | DUKE WAI B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HONG KONG BET TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 10 | 58.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GUY DRAGON XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | MS ALLY M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 14 | 90.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY FUN B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | DECRYPT H-/XB1/TT- B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE B C Soumillon · K W Lui | C Soumillon | K W Lui | 7 | 8.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CZARSON CP/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 12 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | UGLY WARRIOR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 161.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CZARSON | 25.4% | 3.93 | 13 |
| 2 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 18.2% | 5.49 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | LOCKHEED | 13.6% | 7.37 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 11.1% | 9.01 | 12 |
| 5 | 5 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 7.1% | 14.14 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | DUKE WAI | 5.8% | 17.20 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | GUY DRAGON | 3.7% | 26.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | HONG KONG BET | 3.2% | 31.01 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | DECRYPT | 2.7% | 36.53 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | UGLY WARRIOR | 2.7% | 37.23 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | MS ALLY | 2.0% | 51.20 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.8% | 55.63 | 2 |
| 13 | 9 | HAPPY FUN | 1.7% | 58.10 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | WATER DIVINER | 0.9% | 109.68 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 24
PLACE
3 13.5
8 189.5
14 35
QUINELLA
3,8 1,113
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 351.5
3,14 59
8,14 816
FORECAST
3,8 1,812
TIERCE
3,8,14 13,953
TRIO
3,8,14 1,934
FIRST 4
3,5,8,14 3,358
QUARTET
3,8,14,5 72,500
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
5/3 345.5
5/8 700.5