沙田 · 2021-01-01
第 6場
2021-01-01沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C S Shum訓練的NAMJONG SINGS勝出，贏出1-3/4。TRUST ME獲得亞軍；GREEN REIGN獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門SUPER DOBBIN跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NAMJONG SINGS B 1.09.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | TRUST ME H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | GREEN REIGN B- C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 9 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER DOBBIN B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 12 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | IGNITING B/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SHADOW RUNNER K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 99.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SCORES OF FUN TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 7.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | ARES Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 8.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 7 | 63.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | ACA POWER B/XB M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 176.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | STOICISM N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 164.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | POISED TO STRIKE XB C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 52.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | MR ALDAN B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 31.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | INNER FLAME XB C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 13 | 25.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | DIVINE REGULUS T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SCORES OF FUN | 22.9% | 4.37 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | NAMJONG SINGS | 13.6% | 7.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER DOBBIN | 13.6% | 7.36 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | ARES | 13.0% | 7.69 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | IGNITING | 11.6% | 8.63 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | TRUST ME | 5.5% | 18.15 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | INNER FLAME | 5.3% | 18.78 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | GREEN REIGN | 5.0% | 20.01 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | MR ALDAN | 3.7% | 26.99 | 13 |
| 10 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE | 2.3% | 43.63 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | STOICISM | 1.6% | 63.82 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | POISED TO STRIKE | 1.2% | 86.87 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | ACA POWER | 0.4% | 236.16 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | SHADOW RUNNER | 0.4% | 276.18 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 67
PLACE
7 74
12 18.5
14 28.5
QUINELLA
12,14 288.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 183
7,14 501
12,14 98
FORECAST
12,14 697
TIERCE
12,14,7 11,226
TRIO
7,12,14 3,644
FIRST 4
3,7,12,14 1,506
QUARTET
12,14,7,3 46,630
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20
5TH DOUBLE
11/12 291.5
11/14 174.5