沙田 · 2021-02-06
第 9場
2021-02-06沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的HINCHINLOVE勝出，贏出2-1/2。HARMONY N BLESSED獲得亞軍；REGENCY BO BO獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門HARMONY N BLESSED跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT 1.08.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED XB/TT1 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 2 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FIRST RESPONDER V-/B2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WAR WEAPON J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 4.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WINNING FOR ALL B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLFMAN STAR K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPER DYNAMITE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | LET'S DO IT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 5 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT B/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 162.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | MR ALDAN B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 11 | 89.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 51.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 26.4% | 3.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | WAR WEAPON | 15.6% | 6.42 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | GOLFMAN STAR | 13.6% | 7.35 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | FIRST RESPONDER | 11.9% | 8.41 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE | 8.5% | 11.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO | 6.2% | 16.25 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNING FOR ALL | 6.1% | 16.33 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX | 5.0% | 19.88 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | MR ALDAN | 2.2% | 45.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 2.2% | 45.99 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 1.2% | 85.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | LET'S DO IT | 1.2% | 86.69 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 102
PLACE
5 25
6 31
8 12.5
QUINELLA
5,8 98
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 152
5,8 41.5
6,8 50
FORECAST
5,8 386
TIERCE
5,8,6 2,435
TRIO
5,6,8 322
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 560
QUARTET
5,8,6,12 17,505
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
8TH DOUBLE
4/5 2,328.5
4/8 96