Sha Tin · 2021-02-06
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HINCHINLOVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 2-1/2, with HARMONY N BLESSED second and REGENCY BO BO third. The 2.0 favourite HARMONY N BLESSED finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT 1.08.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED XB/TT1 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 2 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FIRST RESPONDER V-/B2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WAR WEAPON J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 4.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WINNING FOR ALL B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLFMAN STAR K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPER DYNAMITE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | LET'S DO IT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 5 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT B/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 162.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | MR ALDAN B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 11 | 89.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 51.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 26.4% | 3.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | WAR WEAPON | 15.6% | 6.42 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | GOLFMAN STAR | 13.6% | 7.35 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | FIRST RESPONDER | 11.9% | 8.41 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HINCHINLOVE | 8.5% | 11.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO | 6.2% | 16.25 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNING FOR ALL | 6.1% | 16.33 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX | 5.0% | 19.88 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | MR ALDAN | 2.2% | 45.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 2.2% | 45.99 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 1.2% | 85.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | LET'S DO IT | 1.2% | 86.69 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 102
PLACE
5 25
6 31
8 12.5
QUINELLA
5,8 98
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 152
5,8 41.5
6,8 50
FORECAST
5,8 386
TIERCE
5,8,6 2,435
TRIO
5,6,8 322
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 560
QUARTET
5,8,6,12 17,505
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
8TH DOUBLE
4/5 2,328.5
4/8 96