Sha Tin · 2021-02-06
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JUDY'S STAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1, with VOYAGE STAR second and GLENEALY GENERALS third. The 2.1 favourite PEGASUS GLORY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JUDY'S STAR B 1.09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 5 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | GLENEALY GENERALS V N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 4 | 9.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR OF WUYI B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 2 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PEGASUS GLORY Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 2.1 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 8.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | WAYFOONG STAR B-/SR-/XB- T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 6 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | DIAMOND PIXIU H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 41.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WINNER'S HEART M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 74.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | GRAND POWER H1 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 201.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SUNDAY BETTING V-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 55.0 | 29-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PEGASUS GLORY | 26.2% | 3.82 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | JUDY'S STAR | 19.8% | 5.06 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 11.5% | 8.70 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR OF WUYI | 10.3% | 9.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 7.0% | 14.22 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 7.0% | 14.36 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | VOYAGE STAR | 6.7% | 14.84 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | WINNER'S HEART | 4.8% | 20.76 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | SUNDAY BETTING | 2.3% | 44.13 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | WAYFOONG STAR | 2.0% | 49.06 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | GRAND POWER | 1.3% | 74.50 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | DIAMOND PIXIU | 1.1% | 92.73 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 49.5
PLACE
3 27
6 15
12 29.5
QUINELLA
6,12 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 67.5
3,12 101
6,12 55.5
FORECAST
6,12 403
TIERCE
6,12,3 2,100
TRIO
3,6,12 317
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 710
QUARTET
6,12,3,7 12,280
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,7/3,6,12 940,603
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/6 444
7/12 110.5