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Sha Tin · 2021-02-06

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1800m 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEAR SLAM Closed strongly 1.46.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D E Ferraris 8 23.0 1-3/4
2 0 PING HAI TREASURE P J Moreira · J Size 4 5.1 1-3/4
3 0 HONGKONG GREAT Led early B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 1 4.3 2
4 0 NOTHING NEW H- V Borges · C W Chang 9 9.7 4-1/2
5 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 5 2.9 4-1/2
6 0 TANGMERE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 7 19.0 4-3/4
7 0 GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui 6 28.0 5
8 0 LONDON HALL B C L Chau · D J Hall 3 18.0 5-3/4
9 0 TURIN REDSTAR TT K C Leung · C H Yip 2 8.3 8-1/4
10 0 INDICATIVE VOTE TT- C Y Ho · K W Lui 10 31.0 20-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BEAR SLAM, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-3/4, with PING HAI TREASURE second and HONGKONG GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAR SLAM—2. PING HAI TREASURE+1.75L3. HONGKONG GREAT+2L4. NOTHING NEW+4.5L5. PARTY EVERYDAY+4.5L6. TANGMERE+4.75L7. GREAT TREASURE+5L8. LONDON HALL+5.75L9. TURIN REDSTAR+8.25L10. INDICATIVE VOTE+20.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick PING HAI TREASURE (31.8%) finished 2nd — the winner BEAR SLAM was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PING HAI TREASURE 31.8% 3.15 2
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 18.0% 5.55 5
3 0 HONGKONG GREAT 17.4% 5.75 3
4 0 TURIN REDSTAR 10.9% 9.21 9
5 0 LONDON HALL 9.6% 10.42 8
6 0 TANGMERE 3.2% 31.47 6
7 0 GREAT TREASURE 3.0% 33.18 7
8 0 BEAR SLAM 2.7% 37.65 1
9 0 NOTHING NEW 1.9% 52.52 4
10 0 INDICATIVE VOTE 1.6% 62.38 10
PING HAI TREASUREPARTY EVERYDAYHONGKONG GREATTURIN REDSTARLONDON HALLTANGMEREGREAT TREASUREBEAR SLAM — wonNOTHING NEWINDICATIVE VOTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 232

PLACE

2 16.5

3 53

7 19.5

QUINELLA

3,7 596

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 188

2,7 43

3,7 153

FORECAST

3,7 1,146

TIERCE

3,7,2 7,687

TRIO

2,3,7 695

FIRST 4

2,3,7,9 1,816

QUARTET

3,7,2,9 60,724

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,5/2,3,7 25,865

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 35

6TH DOUBLE

3/3 2,263

3/7 127