Sha Tin · 2021-02-06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BEAR SLAM, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-3/4, with PING HAI TREASURE second and HONGKONG GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAR SLAM Closed strongly 1.46.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | PING HAI TREASURE P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HONGKONG GREAT Led early B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 1 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | NOTHING NEW H- V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 9 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | TANGMERE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 6 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | LONDON HALL B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 3 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | TURIN REDSTAR TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 8.3 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | INDICATIVE VOTE TT- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 31.0 | 20-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PING HAI TREASURE | 31.8% | 3.15 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 18.0% | 5.55 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | HONGKONG GREAT | 17.4% | 5.75 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | TURIN REDSTAR | 10.9% | 9.21 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | LONDON HALL | 9.6% | 10.42 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | TANGMERE | 3.2% | 31.47 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.0% | 33.18 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAR SLAM | 2.7% | 37.65 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | NOTHING NEW | 1.9% | 52.52 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | INDICATIVE VOTE | 1.6% | 62.38 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 232
PLACE
2 16.5
3 53
7 19.5
QUINELLA
3,7 596
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 188
2,7 43
3,7 153
FORECAST
3,7 1,146
TIERCE
3,7,2 7,687
TRIO
2,3,7 695
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 1,816
QUARTET
3,7,2,9 60,724
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/2,3,7 25,865
3 PICK 1
A3 35
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 2,263
3/7 127