Sha Tin · 2021-02-06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B 1.39.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 13 | 5.4 | DH |
| 1 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS Closed strongly CP/H 1.39.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 8.3 | DH |
| 3 | 0 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PROUD SKY Closed strongly V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly XB-/SR1 M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 8 | 74.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KEEP WINNING Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 5.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE P-/H/XB/V2 K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 12 | 45.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SPEED FORCE XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JADE THEATRE B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 19.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 7 | 120.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE Led early H/CP1/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.6 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DRAGON COMMANDER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by DH, with FAIRY FLOSS second and TREASURE CHEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite TREASURE CHEST finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 16.4% | 6.11 | 14 |
| 2 | 0 | TREASURE CHEST | 14.7% | 6.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 11.5% | 8.72 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 9.9% | 10.09 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | JADE THEATRE | 8.0% | 12.46 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY | 7.9% | 12.65 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 7.3% | 13.67 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 4.8% | 20.74 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 4.3% | 23.08 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 4.2% | 23.92 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 4.0% | 25.23 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 3.2% | 31.61 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 2.4% | 42.41 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 1.5% | 67.21 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 27
10 41.5
PLACE
4 17.5
7 20.5
10 32.5
QUINELLA
7,10 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 48.5
4,10 67
7,10 85.5
FORECAST
7,10 195
10,7 279
TIERCE
7,10,4 954
10,7,4 1,047
TRIO
4,7,10 240
FIRST 4
4,7,10,11 1,532
QUARTET
7,10,4,11 15,365
10,7,4,11 19,257
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 11.5
A3 10.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/7 205.5
6/10 241