Sha Tin · 2021-02-06
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DESTINE JEWELLERY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by SH, with LITTLE THUNDER second and MOON PEAKS third. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B 1.10.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.9 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | LITTLE THUNDER B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | N |
| 4 | 9 | MONEYMORE B C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ALLOY STAR B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 27.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | ANONYMA N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 45.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B2 Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B-/PC1 T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 6 | 34.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CRUCIATUS XB/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 12 | 91.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON CP-/TT- C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | WINNING STRIKES B-/CP1/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 31.0% | 3.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 13.1% | 7.66 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | MONEYMORE | 11.8% | 8.44 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | WINNING STRIKES | 8.2% | 12.25 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | ANONYMA | 6.3% | 15.93 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 6.2% | 16.23 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | MOON PEAKS | 4.5% | 22.44 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 4.5% | 22.46 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | LITTLE THUNDER | 3.9% | 25.34 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | ALLOY STAR | 3.7% | 27.10 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | CRUCIATUS | 2.7% | 37.22 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 39.5
PLACE
2 16
5 33.5
8 42
QUINELLA
2,5 261.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 84.5
2,8 106
5,8 186
FORECAST
2,5 439
TIERCE
2,5,8 4,440
TRIO
2,5,8 1,052
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 760
QUARTET
2,5,8,9 15,453
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24.5
A2 —
A3 —