Sha Tin · 2021-02-06
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE ROCK Wire to wire 1.34.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 8.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CONQUEROR Closed strongly B T Piccone · D A Hayes | T Piccone | D A Hayes | 1 | 66.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Closed strongly H/XB B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 4 | 134.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE CP V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SEA OF LIFE V C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly B- K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 7 | 1.7 | 3-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. THE ROCK, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with CONQUEROR second and ARTHUR'S KINGDOM third. The winner led throughout. The 1.7 favourite CIRCUIT THREE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE ROCK | 32.0% | 3.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 28.7% | 3.48 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SEA OF LIFE | 19.5% | 5.14 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 7.5% | 13.42 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 6.2% | 16.05 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 4.8% | 20.98 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 0.8% | 123.89 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CONQUEROR | 0.6% | 167.27 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 89
PLACE
4 87
5 135.5
7 16
QUINELLA
4,7 1,850
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 935
4,7 351
5,7 699
FORECAST
7,4 2,869
TIERCE
7,4,5 47,806
TRIO
4,5,7 12,907
FIRST 4
4,5,7,8 10,287
QUARTET
7,4,5,8 203,724
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/4 689.5
10/7 487.5
3 PICK 1
A2 32.5
A1 —
A3 —