Sha Tin · 2021-02-06
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SKYEY SUPREME, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with LADY FIRST second and UNITE SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite SO AWESOME finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME Wire to wire B/TT 1.38.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 8 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 13 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | DEAL MAKER H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | SO AWESOME B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 1 | 2.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | OH BRAVO TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 4 | 113.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | GOLDIE FLANKER B C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 2 | 65.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly H/B1 V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 6 | 59.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | SUN SUN FA FA Closed strongly TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 12 | 180.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | THE BEST HERO V1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 65.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | DEMONS ROCK B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 9 | 37.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 4 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | UNITE SPIRIT | 22.7% | 4.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | DOUBLE TAKE | 16.7% | 5.99 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | SO AWESOME | 14.0% | 7.15 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME | 11.5% | 8.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | LADY FIRST | 9.7% | 10.28 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | DEAL MAKER | 7.1% | 14.16 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | DEMONS ROCK | 5.8% | 17.12 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | EL VALIENTE | 4.0% | 25.11 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.8% | 35.56 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 2.1% | 48.10 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | SUN SUN FA FA | 1.3% | 76.31 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | OH BRAVO | 1.2% | 80.92 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | THE BEST HERO | 1.1% | 89.01 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 109.5
PLACE
2 20
3 29.5
5 18.5
QUINELLA
3,5 260
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 96
2,5 54.5
3,5 89.5
FORECAST
3,5 968
TIERCE
3,5,2 3,654
TRIO
2,3,5 514
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 469
QUARTET
3,5,2,6 13,891
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/3 457.5
7/5 33.5
10/3 764.5
10/5 46
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,12/4,7,10/2,3,5 1,410,619
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,12/4,7,10/Any Combination 2,775