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Sha Tin · 2021-02-06

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SKYEY SUPREME Wire to wire B/TT 1.38.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui 5 10.0 2
2 0 LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 10 5.1 2
3 0 UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · D E Ferraris 8 6.2 2-3/4
4 0 DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly V K Teetan · C Fownes 13 6.5 3-1/4
5 0 DEAL MAKER H C Schofield · K H Ting 11 18.0 4-1/2
6 0 EL VALIENTE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan 3 16.0 4-1/2
7 0 SO AWESOME B Z Purton · Y S Tsui 1 2.4 4-3/4
8 0 OH BRAVO TT T Piccone · W Y So 4 113.0 5-1/2
9 0 GOLDIE FLANKER B C Wong · K L Man 2 65.0 7
10 0 WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly H/B1 V Borges · K H Ting 6 59.0 7-1/4
11 0 SUN SUN FA FA Closed strongly TT H N Wong · W Y So 12 180.0 8-3/4
12 0 THE BEST HERO V1 H W Lai · L Ho 7 65.0 8-3/4
13 0 DEMONS ROCK B H T Mo · D J Hall 9 37.0 10-1/4
— 0 CHUNG WAH SPIRIT M Chadwick · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SKYEY SUPREME, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with LADY FIRST second and UNITE SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite SO AWESOME finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKYEY SUPREME—2. LADY FIRST+2L3. UNITE SPIRIT+2.75L4. DOUBLE TAKE+3.25L5. DEAL MAKER+4.5L6. EL VALIENTE+4.5L7. SO AWESOME+4.75L8. OH BRAVO+5.5L9. GOLDIE FLANKER+7L10. WEALTHY EMPLOYEE+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick UNITE SPIRIT (22.7%) finished 3rd — the winner SKYEY SUPREME was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 UNITE SPIRIT 22.7% 4.41 3
2 0 DOUBLE TAKE 16.7% 5.99 4
3 0 SO AWESOME 14.0% 7.15 7
4 0 SKYEY SUPREME 11.5% 8.70 1
5 0 LADY FIRST 9.7% 10.28 2
6 0 DEAL MAKER 7.1% 14.16 5
7 0 DEMONS ROCK 5.8% 17.12 13
8 0 EL VALIENTE 4.0% 25.11 6
9 0 WEALTHY EMPLOYEE 2.8% 35.56 10
10 0 GOLDIE FLANKER 2.1% 48.10 9
11 0 SUN SUN FA FA 1.3% 76.31 11
12 0 OH BRAVO 1.2% 80.92 8
13 0 THE BEST HERO 1.1% 89.01 12
UNITE SPIRITDOUBLE TAKESO AWESOMESKYEY SUPREME — wonLADY FIRSTDEAL MAKERDEMONS ROCKEL VALIENTEWEALTHY EMPLOYEEGOLDIE FLANKERSUN SUN FA FAOH BRAVOTHE BEST HERO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 109.5

PLACE

2 20

3 29.5

5 18.5

QUINELLA

3,5 260

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 96

2,5 54.5

3,5 89.5

FORECAST

3,5 968

TIERCE

3,5,2 3,654

TRIO

2,3,5 514

FIRST 4

2,3,5,6 469

QUARTET

3,5,2,6 13,891

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 24.5

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

7/3 457.5

7/5 33.5

10/3 764.5

10/5 46

TRIPLE TRIO

3,6,12/4,7,10/2,3,5 1,410,619

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,6,12/4,7,10/Any Combination 2,775