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Sha Tin · 2021-02-06

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-06 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with HURRY HURRY GAIN second and MAJESTIC CONQUEROR third. The 3.0 favourite UNITED WE STAND finished 10th.

Result

Official · 0.56.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 0.56.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 4 7.1 3/4
2 7 HURRY HURRY GAIN C Y Ho · F C Lor 12 11.0 3/4
3 14 MAJESTIC CONQUEROR B-/TT K Teetan · T P Yung 8 23.0 1-1/4
4 12 STAR SUPERIOR H N Wong · C W Chang 2 67.0 2-1/2
5 2 SELL MY SOLE E J Moreira · J Size 7 4.8 2-1/2
6 13 VALIANT ELEGANCE V-/H1/B2/TT K H Chan · D J Whyte 11 32.0 2-1/2
7 5 FARIBAULT M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan 6 58.0 3
8 8 MASTER OF FUN H1 N Callan · C H Yip 5 79.0 3
9 1 SUPER COMMANDER TT1 B Shinn · D E Ferraris 1 117.0 3-3/4
10 3 UNITED WE STAND B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 14 3.0 7-1/2
11 11 BELLA BABY XB/TT A Badel · W Y So 9 4.0 8
12 4 DRAGON KINGDOM H- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 10 129.0 9-1/4
13 6 FIGURES TWO C Schofield · A T Millard 3 46.0 9-1/4
14 9 MULTIPOWER TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz 13 22.0 11-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR2. HURRY HURRY GAIN+0.75L3. MAJESTIC CONQUEROR+1.25L4. STAR SUPERIOR+2.5L5. SELL MY SOLE+2.5L6. VALIANT ELEGANCE+2.5L7. FARIBAULT+3L8. MASTER OF FUN+3L9. SUPER COMMANDER+3.75L10. UNITED WE STAND+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SELL MY SOLE (19.3%) finished 5th — the winner PLEASANT ENDEAVOR was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SELL MY SOLE 19.3% 5.18 5
2 7 HURRY HURRY GAIN 11.4% 8.75 2
3 6 FIGURES TWO 11.1% 9.04 13
4 3 UNITED WE STAND 11.0% 9.07 10
5 11 BELLA BABY 9.7% 10.26 11
6 9 MULTIPOWER 8.8% 11.34 14
7 8 MASTER OF FUN 6.1% 16.32 8
8 10 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 5.9% 17.03 1
9 14 MAJESTIC CONQUEROR 4.4% 22.87 3
10 5 FARIBAULT 3.5% 28.42 7
11 12 STAR SUPERIOR 2.9% 34.46 4
12 13 VALIANT ELEGANCE 2.2% 45.75 6
13 4 DRAGON KINGDOM 1.8% 54.06 12
14 1 SUPER COMMANDER 1.8% 55.98 9
SELL MY SOLEHURRY HURRY GAINFIGURES TWOUNITED WE STANDBELLA BABYMULTIPOWERMASTER OF FUNPLEASANT ENDEAVOR — wonMAJESTIC CONQUERORFARIBAULTSTAR SUPERIORVALIANT ELEGANCEDRAGON KINGDOMSUPER COMMANDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 71

PLACE

7 34

10 24.5

14 52.5

QUINELLA

7,10 324.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,10 126.5

7,14 282

10,14 222

FORECAST

10,7 574

TIERCE

10,7,14 11,681

TRIO

7,10,14 2,684

FIRST 4

7,10,12,14 31,357

QUARTET

10,7,14,12 314,597

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/7 112

2/10 460.5

3 PICK 1

A2 23

A1

A3