沙田 · 2021-03-07
第 2場
2021-03-07沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由M Chadwick策騎、C W Chang訓練的MOERAKI勝出，贏出1。MAGIC SUPREME獲得亞軍；FLYING ON THE TURF獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門FLYING ON THE TURF跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MOERAKI B 1.08.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 2 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 1 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 3 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | THE BEST HERO V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | DOLLAR REWARD P2/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 6.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | DEMONS ROCK B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 5 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | THOU SHALL SING B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 5.5 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | MIGHTY POWER B V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 10 | 6.7 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 48.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | ENJOY MY LIFE TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 78.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | STRIKING MR C B/TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 8 | 22.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTIPOWER TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 4 | 41.0 | 29-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MOERAKI | 19.1% | 5.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | DOLLAR REWARD | 15.8% | 6.32 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 12.6% | 7.96 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME | 11.8% | 8.48 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | STRIKING MR C | 9.3% | 10.77 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | DEMONS ROCK | 8.4% | 11.90 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | MIGHTY POWER | 8.1% | 12.29 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | THOU SHALL SING | 7.3% | 13.61 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT | 2.3% | 42.68 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | MULTIPOWER | 2.3% | 43.24 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | ENJOY MY LIFE | 1.6% | 64.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | THE BEST HERO | 1.3% | 74.51 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 54.5
PLACE
1 15
3 18
8 24
QUINELLA
3,8 198.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 55
1,8 58.5
3,8 64.5
FORECAST
3,8 307
TIERCE
3,8,1 1,337
TRIO
1,3,8 271
FIRST 4
1,3,8,12 1,883
QUARTET
3,8,1,12 32,540
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/3 2,765
7/8 571
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 30
A3 —