沙田 · 2021-03-07
第 4場
2021-03-07沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的CITY LEGEND勝出，贏出3/4。GREAT HARVEST獲得亞軍；BLAZING PARTNERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門VICTORIOUS LEADER跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT 1.23.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 8.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | GREAT HARVEST 後段發力 N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 11 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | VIVA MAMA TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GALAXY EMPEROR B/H/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | UNIVERSAL RECORD 早段領放 CP M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 7 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | CRUCIATUS 後段發力 XB/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 8 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 4.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | LITTLE GENERAL CP-/B2/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 14 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VIVA MAMA | 17.3% | 5.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 16.1% | 6.22 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 12.3% | 8.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 11.8% | 8.48 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | GREAT HARVEST | 7.2% | 13.81 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | WONDER EXPRESS | 7.0% | 14.26 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | CITY LEGEND | 6.2% | 16.04 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.6% | 17.98 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM | 3.7% | 26.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | LITTLE GENERAL | 3.7% | 26.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.8% | 35.49 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | CRUCIATUS | 2.4% | 41.14 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 2.3% | 44.35 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 1.5% | 67.52 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 81.5
PLACE
1 21
9 29.5
13 33.5
QUINELLA
1,9 296.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 108.5
1,13 118
9,13 122
FORECAST
1,9 825
TIERCE
1,9,13 4,335
TRIO
1,9,13 897
FIRST 4
1,4,9,13 1,434
QUARTET
1,9,13,4 33,994
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/1,9,13 15,109
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 261
5/9 56.5