沙田 · 2021-03-07
第 9場
2021-03-07沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的FLAGSHIP GLORY勝出，贏出1/2。AUTHENTIC CHAMP獲得亞軍；BEAUTY DAY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLAGSHIP GLORY 後段發力 H1 1.35.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP 後段發力 B/H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 3 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY DAY 早段領放 B/H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 5 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | RIGHT CHOICE B B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 10 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 13 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | LEWIS B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 B- N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 12 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SPARKY TRAIL 後段發力 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | AI ONE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 96.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | MR ALDAN B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 49.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | PRECISE EXPRESS A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 34.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | MING WARRIOR TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 7 | 312.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 33.6% | 2.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | FLAGSHIP GLORY | 22.7% | 4.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | LEWIS | 9.3% | 10.71 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | BEAUTY DAY | 7.8% | 12.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.5% | 15.44 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.5% | 18.08 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | RIGHT CHOICE | 4.3% | 23.35 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN | 3.7% | 27.02 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.1% | 48.50 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | MR ALDAN | 1.9% | 51.36 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | SPARKY TRAIL | 1.1% | 90.91 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | AI ONE | 0.8% | 122.57 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | MING WARRIOR | 0.7% | 150.59 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 23.5
PLACE
1 14
10 16.5
11 22.5
QUINELLA
1,10 56.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 23
1,11 46
10,11 54.5
FORECAST
1,10 64
TIERCE
1,10,11 566
TRIO
1,10,11 157
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 404
QUARTET
1,10,11,8 4,463
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
11/1 264
11/10 57