Sha Tin · 2021-03-07
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-07 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CITY LEGEND, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with GREAT HARVEST second and BLAZING PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite VICTORIOUS LEADER finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 8.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | GREAT HARVEST Closed strongly N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 11 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | VIVA MAMA TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GALAXY EMPEROR B/H/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | UNIVERSAL RECORD Led early CP M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 7 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | CRUCIATUS Closed strongly XB/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 8 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 4.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | LITTLE GENERAL CP-/B2/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 14 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VIVA MAMA | 17.3% | 5.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 16.1% | 6.22 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 12.3% | 8.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 11.8% | 8.48 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | GREAT HARVEST | 7.2% | 13.81 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | WONDER EXPRESS | 7.0% | 14.26 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | CITY LEGEND | 6.2% | 16.04 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.6% | 17.98 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM | 3.7% | 26.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | LITTLE GENERAL | 3.7% | 26.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.8% | 35.49 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | CRUCIATUS | 2.4% | 41.14 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 2.3% | 44.35 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 1.5% | 67.52 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 81.5
PLACE
1 21
9 29.5
13 33.5
QUINELLA
1,9 296.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 108.5
1,13 118
9,13 122
FORECAST
1,9 825
TIERCE
1,9,13 4,335
TRIO
1,9,13 897
FIRST 4
1,4,9,13 1,434
QUARTET
1,9,13,4 33,994
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/1,9,13 15,109
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 261
5/9 56.5