Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-03-07

Race 4

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 12 8.1 3/4
2 0 GREAT HARVEST Closed strongly N Callan · K L Man 11 7.3 3/4
3 0 BLAZING PARTNERS B K Teetan · D E Ferraris 6 9.9 3/4
4 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 5 8.6 2
5 0 VIVA MAMA TT H T Mo · L Ho 2 28.0 3-1/4
6 0 GALAXY EMPEROR B/H/TT R Maia · A S Cruz 10 14.0 3-1/4
7 0 UNIVERSAL RECORD Led early CP M Chadwick · A T Millard 7 30.0 3-1/2
8 0 CRUCIATUS Closed strongly XB/TT H N Wong · C W Chang 3 39.0 4-3/4
9 0 WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT B Shinn · K H Ting 8 17.0 5
10 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip 13 4.7 5
11 0 THE FULL BLOOM V M F Poon · D J Hall 1 4.8 5-1/4
12 0 LITTLE GENERAL CP-/B2/TT V Borges · C S Shum 14 28.0 6
13 0 FOR FUN'S SAKE C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 28.0 6-1/2
14 0 BRAVERY AND POWER TT M L Yeung · W Y So 4 34.0 7-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-07 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CITY LEGEND, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with GREAT HARVEST second and BLAZING PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite VICTORIOUS LEADER finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CITY LEGEND—2. GREAT HARVEST+0.75L3. BLAZING PARTNERS+0.75L4. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+2L5. VIVA MAMA+3.25L6. GALAXY EMPEROR+3.25L7. UNIVERSAL RECORD+3.5L8. CRUCIATUS+4.75L9. WONDER EXPRESS+5L10. VICTORIOUS LEADER+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick VIVA MAMA (17.3%) finished 5th — the winner CITY LEGEND was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 VIVA MAMA 17.3% 5.78 5
2 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER 16.1% 6.22 10
3 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 12.3% 8.10 4
4 0 GALAXY EMPEROR 11.8% 8.48 6
5 0 GREAT HARVEST 7.2% 13.81 2
6 0 WONDER EXPRESS 7.0% 14.26 9
7 0 CITY LEGEND 6.2% 16.04 1
8 0 BLAZING PARTNERS 5.6% 17.98 3
9 0 THE FULL BLOOM 3.7% 26.77 11
10 0 LITTLE GENERAL 3.7% 26.89 12
11 0 FOR FUN'S SAKE 2.8% 35.49 13
12 0 CRUCIATUS 2.4% 41.14 8
13 0 BRAVERY AND POWER 2.3% 44.35 14
14 0 UNIVERSAL RECORD 1.5% 67.52 7
VIVA MAMAVICTORIOUS LEADERWINWIN THIRTYTHREEGALAXY EMPERORGREAT HARVESTWONDER EXPRESSCITY LEGEND — wonBLAZING PARTNERSTHE FULL BLOOMLITTLE GENERALFOR FUN'S SAKECRUCIATUSBRAVERY AND POWERUNIVERSAL RECORD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 81.5

PLACE

1 21

9 29.5

13 33.5

QUINELLA

1,9 296.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 108.5

1,13 118

9,13 122

FORECAST

1,9 825

TIERCE

1,9,13 4,335

TRIO

1,9,13 897

FIRST 4

1,4,9,13 1,434

QUARTET

1,9,13,4 33,994

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,8/1,9,13 15,109

3 PICK 1

A2 25.5

A3 —

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE

5/1 261

5/9 56.5