Sha Tin · 2021-03-07
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SO WE JOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with GOLDEN LINK second and PLIKCLONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite PLIKCLONE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP-/TT2 1.22.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.2 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN LINK K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 6 | 20.0 | HD |
| 3 | 13 | PLIKCLONE Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 12 | 4.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 9 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | OSCAR GLORY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 6.9 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 2 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | TAKINGUFURTHER Led early H/V V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 1 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B- A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V-/B1 N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 3 | 6.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | PHENOMENAL COMBO R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GLADSOME RYDER Closed strongly TT1 M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 14 | 70.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | BRILLIANT CHINA CP-/B1/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 13 | 134.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 10 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | OSCAR GLORY | 17.6% | 5.68 | 5 |
| 2 | 13 | PLIKCLONE | 17.3% | 5.79 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SO WE JOY | 11.0% | 9.11 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 10.2% | 9.81 | 9 |
| 5 | 14 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 8.9% | 11.21 | 14 |
| 6 | 1 | GOLDEN LINK | 5.7% | 17.46 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 5.5% | 18.05 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDEN FOUR | 5.3% | 18.72 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.32 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | PHENOMENAL COMBO | 4.2% | 24.01 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | RUN DES RUN | 3.3% | 30.24 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | GLADSOME RYDER | 2.1% | 48.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU | 1.9% | 51.68 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 1.8% | 56.08 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 42.5
PLACE
1 56.5
2 20
13 16.5
QUINELLA
1,2 503.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 179
1,13 136.5
2,13 44.5
FORECAST
2,1 775
TIERCE
2,1,13 3,764
TRIO
1,2,13 833
FIRST 4
1,2,3,13 1,227
QUARTET
2,1,13,3 23,856
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 156.5
4/2 104.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,9,13/1,2,4/1,2,13 1,360,681
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,9,13/1,2,4/Any Combination 2,510