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Sha Tin · 2021-03-07

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE P1 1.09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 8.3 1
2 0 STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte 7 5.9 1
3 0 DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT V Borges · T P Yung 8 8.5 2-1/4
4 0 JUNEAU PARK Z Purton · J Size 5 2.1 2-3/4
5 0 FALCON TURBO B/XB C Wong · A T Millard 3 21.0 3
6 0 IMA SINGLE MAN CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 12 27.0 3-1/2
7 0 DIVINE REGULUS TT A Hamelin · W Y So 4 23.0 4-1/2
8 0 CHICKEN DANCE CP N Callan · P O'Sullivan 2 13.0 4-3/4
9 0 TORNADO TWIST B/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 9 9.7 5
10 0 TELECOM CHEETAH P/TT H N Wong · C H Yip 1 103.0 6-1/2
11 0 SICOMORO B Shinn · D A Hayes 10 107.0 7-1/2
12 0 GENTLE BREEZE B-/H2 K H Chan · P F Yiu 11 226.0 16-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-07 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with STORM WARNINGS second and DIAMOND BRILLIANT third. The 2.1 favourite JUNEAU PARK finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHANCHENG PRINCE—2. STORM WARNINGS+1L3. DIAMOND BRILLIANT+2.25L4. JUNEAU PARK+2.75L5. FALCON TURBO+3L6. IMA SINGLE MAN+3.5L7. DIVINE REGULUS+4.5L8. CHICKEN DANCE+4.75L9. TORNADO TWIST+5L10. TELECOM CHEETAH+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick JUNEAU PARK (25.6%) finished 4th — the winner CHANCHENG PRINCE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 JUNEAU PARK 25.6% 3.91 4
2 0 IMA SINGLE MAN 14.2% 7.04 6
3 0 CHICKEN DANCE 10.8% 9.23 8
4 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 9.8% 10.19 1
5 0 FALCON TURBO 8.2% 12.13 5
6 0 TORNADO TWIST 7.4% 13.45 9
7 0 DIVINE REGULUS 7.0% 14.31 7
8 0 DIAMOND BRILLIANT 6.0% 16.73 3
9 0 STORM WARNINGS 5.5% 18.04 2
10 0 TELECOM CHEETAH 2.2% 46.35 10
11 0 SICOMORO 1.7% 57.47 11
12 0 GENTLE BREEZE 1.5% 68.26 12
JUNEAU PARKIMA SINGLE MANCHICKEN DANCECHANCHENG PRINCE — wonFALCON TURBOTORNADO TWISTDIVINE REGULUSDIAMOND BRILLIANTSTORM WARNINGSTELECOM CHEETAHSICOMOROGENTLE BREEZE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 83.5

PLACE

3 19

9 27.5

12 27

QUINELLA

3,9 258

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 85.5

3,12 67

9,12 111.5

FORECAST

9,3 627

TIERCE

9,3,12 4,692

TRIO

3,9,12 1,017

FIRST 4

3,6,9,12 418

QUARTET

9,3,12,6 15,872

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,13/3,9,12 75,330

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 34

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

2/3 77

2/9 274