Sha Tin · 2021-03-07
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-07 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with STORM WARNINGS second and DIAMOND BRILLIANT third. The 2.1 favourite JUNEAU PARK finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CHANCHENG PRINCE P1 1.09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | FALCON TURBO B/XB C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 3 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | DIVINE REGULUS TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 4 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE CP N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TORNADO TWIST B/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | TELECOM CHEETAH P/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 103.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SICOMORO B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 107.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | GENTLE BREEZE B-/H2 K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 226.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK | 25.6% | 3.91 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 14.2% | 7.04 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE | 10.8% | 9.23 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 9.8% | 10.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | FALCON TURBO | 8.2% | 12.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | TORNADO TWIST | 7.4% | 13.45 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | DIVINE REGULUS | 7.0% | 14.31 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 6.0% | 16.73 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | STORM WARNINGS | 5.5% | 18.04 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 2.2% | 46.35 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | SICOMORO | 1.7% | 57.47 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | GENTLE BREEZE | 1.5% | 68.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 83.5
PLACE
3 19
9 27.5
12 27
QUINELLA
3,9 258
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 85.5
3,12 67
9,12 111.5
FORECAST
9,3 627
TIERCE
9,3,12 4,692
TRIO
3,9,12 1,017
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 418
QUARTET
9,3,12,6 15,872
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,13/3,9,12 75,330
3 PICK 1
A2 34
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 77
2/9 274