沙田 · 2021-05-08
第 2場
2021-05-08沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、K H Ting訓練的KWAI CHUNG ELITE勝出，贏出SH。GOLDEN MISSION獲得亞軍；ALLOY STAR獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門WONDER BRAHMA跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B 1.09.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 27.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | GOLDEN MISSION B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 9 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | ALLOY STAR B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA MAMA TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 8.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 9.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | REGENCY POET B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 5 | 38.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | ONE HAPPY STAR K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 11 | 9.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA B/H K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 4.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SHANGHAI POWER H/B1 C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 3 | 8.6 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | ANONYMA V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 7 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ALLOY STAR | 32.3% | 3.09 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 15.0% | 6.67 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA | 10.0% | 10.00 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | REGENCY POET | 6.2% | 16.19 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 5.9% | 16.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLDEN MISSION | 5.9% | 17.00 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | SHANGHAI POWER | 5.9% | 17.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | VIVA MAMA | 5.7% | 17.58 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 4.6% | 21.84 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 3.1% | 32.15 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | FOX CHEUNGER | 3.0% | 33.29 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | ANONYMA | 2.4% | 41.33 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 271
PLACE
5 17.5
8 33.5
10 74
QUINELLA
8,10 1,393.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 84
5,10 184.5
8,10 373.5
FORECAST
10,8 4,695
TIERCE
10,8,5 16,381
TRIO
5,8,10 1,220
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 6,937
QUARTET
10,8,5,7 243,447
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/8 45.5
1/10 657
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 22.5
A2 —