沙田 · 2021-05-08
第 1場
2021-05-08沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的ELIGERE勝出，贏出1-3/4。ZACIAN獲得亞軍；SUNDAY BETTING獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ELIGERE B 1.09.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | ZACIAN M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SUNDAY BETTING TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | GO GO SIXTEEN K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | MARADO R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER CP-/B1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LITTLE PLAYER CP C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | MULTIPOWER B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 7 | 155.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | FANTASTIC FABIO C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | THE ELITES TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 140.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GLADSOME RYDER B1/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 8 | 32.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY RUBY | 24.8% | 4.03 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | ELIGERE | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 12.5% | 8.00 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | SUNDAY BETTING | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | LITTLE PLAYER | 7.9% | 12.66 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 7.3% | 13.66 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.2% | 13.90 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | GLADSOME RYDER | 4.2% | 23.88 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | ZACIAN | 3.5% | 28.19 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | MARADO | 2.9% | 34.63 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | THE ELITES | 1.5% | 68.41 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | MULTIPOWER | 1.2% | 84.95 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 13.5
8 54
10 36.5
QUINELLA
1,10 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 82.5
1,10 67.5
8,10 349
FORECAST
1,10 269
TIERCE
1,10,8 3,098
TRIO
1,8,10 909
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 1,787
QUARTET
1,10,8,4 30,719
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —