Sha Tin · 2021-05-08
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ELIGERE B 1.09.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ZACIAN M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNDAY BETTING TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MARADO R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER CP-/B1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LITTLE PLAYER CP C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MULTIPOWER B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 7 | 155.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FANTASTIC FABIO C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | THE ELITES TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 140.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GLADSOME RYDER B1/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 8 | 32.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ELIGERE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-3/4, with ZACIAN second and SUNDAY BETTING third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY RUBY | 24.8% | 4.03 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | ELIGERE | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 12.5% | 8.00 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNDAY BETTING | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | LITTLE PLAYER | 7.9% | 12.66 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 7.3% | 13.66 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.2% | 13.90 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | GLADSOME RYDER | 4.2% | 23.88 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | ZACIAN | 3.5% | 28.19 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | MARADO | 2.9% | 34.63 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | THE ELITES | 1.5% | 68.41 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MULTIPOWER | 1.2% | 84.95 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 13.5
8 54
10 36.5
QUINELLA
1,10 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 82.5
1,10 67.5
8,10 349
FORECAST
1,10 269
TIERCE
1,10,8 3,098
TRIO
1,8,10 909
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 1,787
QUARTET
1,10,8,4 30,719
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —