Sha Tin · 2021-05-08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KILLER BEE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with MIGHTY VALOR second and NAMJONG SINGS third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | KILLER BEE H1/TT 1.08.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 2.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SPEEDY MOUSE Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | TRUST ME H K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 4 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER WIN DRAGON H/TT1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 47.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | LIFELINE VISION C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 9 | 74.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER B1 R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 3 | 119.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | POWER KOEPP A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 74.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 34.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | KILLER BEE | 53.1% | 1.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | DUBLIN STAR | 9.0% | 11.14 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR | 8.0% | 12.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS | 7.4% | 13.50 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 5.8% | 17.13 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | TRUST ME | 3.8% | 26.45 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 3.7% | 26.67 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.7% | 27.22 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | POWER KOEPP | 2.8% | 35.21 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.9% | 53.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER | 0.8% | 120.23 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 20.5
PLACE
3 24
6 20.5
11 12
QUINELLA
3,11 118.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 98.5
3,11 47.5
6,11 41
FORECAST
11,3 130
TIERCE
11,3,6 680
TRIO
3,6,11 265
FIRST 4
3,6,9,11 135
QUARTET
11,3,6,9 1,966
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/3,6,11 93,410
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14
6TH DOUBLE
9/3 903.5
9/11 1,192