Sha Tin · 2021-05-08
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PEACH BLOSSOMS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with UNICORNBABY second and ZONE D third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite ZONE D finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PEACH BLOSSOMS Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 42.0 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | UNICORNBABY B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 11 | 8.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | LEGEND GOES Closed strongly B1 V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 183.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SPRINT FORWARD Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 8 | 67.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | SPEED FAY FAY Led early B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SOLAR POWER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | THUNDERSTRIKE H/XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | PRIME STAR TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 6 | 103.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | TWINX H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 13 | 337.0 | 25-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC | 28.1% | 3.56 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | ZONE D | 17.1% | 5.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | UNICORNBABY | 9.8% | 10.19 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | SUN OF MAKFI | 8.6% | 11.66 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | SOLAR POWER | 7.2% | 13.93 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 7.0% | 14.35 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | SPEED FAY FAY | 5.6% | 17.70 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | SPRINT FORWARD | 5.3% | 18.76 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 4.3% | 23.47 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 3.0% | 33.54 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 1.7% | 60.18 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | PRIME STAR | 1.3% | 76.32 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | LEGEND GOES | 0.7% | 152.91 | 5 |
| 14 | 11 | TWINX | 0.4% | 249.95 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 428
PLACE
3 16
4 24
9 106
QUINELLA
4,9 1,909
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 63.5
3,9 251
4,9 523.5
FORECAST
9,4 5,065
TIERCE
9,4,3 23,583
TRIO
3,4,9 1,673
FIRST 4
3,4,9,14 3,012
QUARTET
9,4,3,14 107,740
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 26
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/4 472
7/9 7,336.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,12/7,10,11/Any Combination 58,829