Sha Tin · 2021-05-08
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-08 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RED ELYSEES, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with SWOT TROOPERS WIND second and STUNNING IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite EL JEFE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B 1.47.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 1 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly CP-/B2 M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | AWE Closed strongly CP-/XB- Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 10 | 3.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | CHEEKY PRAWN B/E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 124.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 9 | 68.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 56.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | YES WE CAN TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 12 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 7 | 58.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | FULL POWER Led early B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 5 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | DAILY CHARM B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SUPER FAST XB T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 6 | 7.1 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | STRATHMARTINE TT1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 48.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AWE | 19.0% | 5.26 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 13.8% | 7.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | EL JEFE | 13.0% | 7.69 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER FAST | 8.7% | 11.54 | 13 |
| 5 | 8 | YES WE CAN | 7.5% | 13.38 | 9 |
| 6 | 13 | DAILY CHARM | 7.1% | 14.06 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | NUNCHUKS | 6.6% | 15.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | STUNNING IMPACT | 6.2% | 16.13 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | RED ELYSEES | 5.3% | 18.70 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | FULL POWER | 4.8% | 20.74 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | CHEEKY PRAWN | 2.3% | 42.74 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | EXALTATION | 2.1% | 47.14 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 1.9% | 51.68 | 7 |
| 14 | 9 | STRATHMARTINE | 1.6% | 62.04 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 167
PLACE
7 44
10 60
11 18.5
QUINELLA
7,11 353
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 429.5
7,11 126
10,11 169
FORECAST
7,11 1,196
TIERCE
7,11,10 15,355
TRIO
7,10,11 2,169
FIRST 4
1,7,10,11 2,121
QUARTET
7,11,10,1 78,791
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 31
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/7 433.5
1/11 46