Sha Tin · 2021-05-08
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-08 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER TEN, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with HALL OF CHAMP second and MERIDIAN GENIUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite GALLANT EXPRESS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER TEN Closed strongly CP/XB 1.21.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 6 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 9.7 | NOSE |
| 3 | 11 | MERIDIAN GENIUS Closed strongly M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 1 | 42.0 | HD |
| 4 | 12 | GALLANT EXPRESS Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | TRUE LEGEND Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PERFECT PAIR SR C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 9 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 2 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SMART LEADER Closed strongly B/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 197.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 8 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SOULMATE TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 42.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 11 | 115.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 49.5% | 2.02 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER TEN | 14.2% | 7.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | HALL OF CHAMP | 8.3% | 11.99 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | TRUE LEGEND | 7.3% | 13.75 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | YO BEAUTY | 6.8% | 14.71 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | PERFECT PAIR | 4.7% | 21.35 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 3.1% | 32.64 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | NOBLE STEED | 2.0% | 49.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 1.7% | 59.13 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | SOULMATE | 1.0% | 104.42 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 0.8% | 125.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | SMART LEADER | 0.7% | 143.03 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 65
PLACE
6 22
10 20
11 79
QUINELLA
6,10 227
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 64.5
6,11 264
10,11 241.5
FORECAST
10,6 543
TIERCE
10,6,11 8,330
TRIO
6,10,11 2,068
FIRST 4
6,10,11,12 646
QUARTET
10,6,11,12 26,115
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 37
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/6 450
9/10 1,992