Sha Tin · 2021-05-08
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-08 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KUNG FU TEA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with SPEEDY DRAGON second and BIG BANG BONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly SR-/B1 1.22.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 2.4 | N |
| 2 | 12 | SPEEDY DRAGON Closed strongly B2/TT1 H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 1 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly B/H/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 4 | 3.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly E/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ALLOY KING Closed strongly B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MOON PEAKS B/H H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 7 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | AMAZING LUCK Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | MANY GAINS TT1 V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 14 | 82.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MONEYMORE CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 75.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 138.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | GO BALLISTIC B-/SR2/TT C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 13 | 23.0 | 22 |
| 14 | 11 | HAPPY RUBY Led early XB/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 8 | 150.0 | 23-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KUNG FU TEA | 35.2% | 2.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | SPICY GRILL | 25.4% | 3.94 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | JOY MASTER | 6.8% | 14.63 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | HAPPY HOUR | 6.2% | 16.13 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | MOON PEAKS | 4.1% | 24.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | ALLOY KING | 3.7% | 26.80 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 3.6% | 27.56 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | AMAZING LUCK | 2.8% | 36.23 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.7% | 36.97 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | MANY GAINS | 2.7% | 37.50 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.4% | 41.21 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | MONEYMORE | 1.9% | 51.33 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | LUCKY TURBO | 1.6% | 60.86 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | HAPPY RUBY | 0.8% | 130.28 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 13
6 29.5
12 45
QUINELLA
1,12 242
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 62
1,12 78.5
6,12 302
FORECAST
1,12 471
TIERCE
1,12,6 3,179
TRIO
1,6,12 711
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 2,870
QUARTET
1,12,6,5 39,965
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/1,6,12 18,674
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 303.5
1/12 425