Sha Tin · 2021-05-08
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SKYEY SUPREME, ridden by H N Wong and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with SMART FOLKS second and UNITE SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. The 3.4 favourite GAMEPLAYER TIMES finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME Wire to wire B/TT 1.36.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 3 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART FOLKS B-/P2 A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 1 | 7.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 6 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | LOYAL BABY C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 4 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 35.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 8.5 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 18.1% | 5.52 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | SO WE JOY | 15.7% | 6.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | CLEAR CHOICE | 15.3% | 6.52 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART FOLKS | 10.3% | 9.73 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 9.9% | 10.06 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | BRIGHT KID | 7.3% | 13.61 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE | 6.1% | 16.47 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | UNITE SPIRIT | 5.9% | 17.05 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.3% | 23.47 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | ELITE PATCH | 3.9% | 25.62 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME | 1.7% | 60.51 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | LOYAL BABY | 1.5% | 65.02 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 207.5
PLACE
9 61
11 43
12 22.5
QUINELLA
9,12 953
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 651
9,12 264.5
11,12 158
FORECAST
9,12 1,613
TIERCE
9,12,11 23,777
TRIO
9,11,12 4,974
FIRST 4
7,9,11,12 2,651
QUARTET
9,12,11,7 73,787
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 24
7TH DOUBLE
11/9 643
11/12 33.5