沙田 · 2021-05-08
第 3場
2021-05-08沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的FIRST RESPONDER勝出，贏出3/4。SEASONS BLISS獲得亞軍；PEGASUS GLORY獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門SEASONS BLISS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER B 1.08.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SEASONS BLISS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 2 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PEGASUS GLORY B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | WINNING BREW CP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | DIVINE REGULUS TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CORDYCEPS KING TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 77.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | TELECOM PUMA XB-/TT2 T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 8 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE H A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 5 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | GOOD LUCK MONEY V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 129.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZEMENT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SHENRON XB-/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT CAVALIER B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 12 | 36.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SEASONS BLISS | 17.2% | 5.80 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZEMENT | 16.3% | 6.15 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | SHENRON | 16.0% | 6.26 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | PEGASUS GLORY | 16.0% | 6.26 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | WINNING BREW | 9.6% | 10.37 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | DIVINE REGULUS | 7.9% | 12.63 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | TELECOM PUMA | 5.4% | 18.53 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 3.6% | 27.59 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER | 3.6% | 27.85 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 1.7% | 59.56 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | GOOD LUCK MONEY | 1.5% | 66.68 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | CORDYCEPS KING | 1.2% | 83.54 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 107.5
PLACE
1 26.5
2 17.5
7 12.5
QUINELLA
1,7 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 75.5
1,7 40.5
2,7 23.5
FORECAST
1,7 381
TIERCE
1,7,2 1,076
TRIO
1,2,7 160
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 273
QUARTET
1,7,2,3 8,671
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
10/1 3,556
10/7 157.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 36.5
A1 —