沙田 · 2021-06-06
第 8場
2021-06-06沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、T P Yung訓練的DIAMOND BRILLIANT勝出，贏出N。WINNER METHOD獲得亞軍；DROPS OF GOD獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門DROPS OF GOD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT 1.08.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 8 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | WINNER METHOD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.6 | N |
| 3 | 11 | DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 1.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 64.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | TRUST ME H T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 5 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 38.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ROCK YA HEART H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | FANTASY B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 9 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SOULMATE TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 97.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | TORNADO TWIST B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | TELECOM JAC A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 95.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DROPS OF GOD | 41.2% | 2.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | WINNER METHOD | 36.0% | 2.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 5.9% | 16.94 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | TORNADO TWIST | 5.9% | 17.04 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | FANTASY | 3.4% | 29.64 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE | 2.3% | 44.30 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | TELECOM JAC | 2.2% | 46.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | TRUST ME | 1.2% | 82.32 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 0.7% | 143.98 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 0.5% | 183.27 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | ROCK YA HEART | 0.5% | 183.32 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | SOULMATE | 0.3% | 375.14 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 144.5
PLACE
1 12.5
10 23
11 11.5
QUINELLA
1,10 218
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 57.5
1,11 14
10,11 38.5
FORECAST
10,1 678
TIERCE
10,1,11 1,162
TRIO
1,10,11 80
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 556
QUARTET
10,1,11,4 34,411
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 52
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/1 231.5
10/10 3,081