沙田 · 2021-06-06
第 2場
2021-06-06沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的SEVEN HEAVENS勝出，贏出3。SPARKLING DOLPHIN獲得亞軍；G ONE EXCELLENT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT 0.55.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT TT1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | BALTIC WHISPER B-/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 13 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | LORIZ C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | EEVEE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | WILD WEST WING C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MILLENNIUM FALCON XB-/H/CP1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 14 | 5.8 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | AHEAD A HEAD B R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 5 | 59.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | SCHOLAR TT1 H N Wong · L Ho | H N Wong | L Ho | 4 | 111.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HEROIC CHAMPION M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 141.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SUPER POWER MAN K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 52.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | WINNING GLORY A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 2 | 78.0 | 23 |
| — | 0 | CORRIENTHES N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EEVEE | 23.0% | 4.35 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 11.9% | 8.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 10.8% | 9.24 | 9 |
| 4 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 8.1% | 12.37 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | LORIZ | 7.5% | 13.34 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | WILD WEST WING | 7.3% | 13.67 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 6.2% | 16.04 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 5.3% | 18.99 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | BALTIC WHISPER | 5.2% | 19.28 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | AHEAD A HEAD | 4.2% | 23.83 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | WINNING GLORY | 4.0% | 24.73 | 14 |
| 12 | 3 | SUPER POWER MAN | 3.6% | 27.70 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | SCHOLAR | 2.2% | 45.26 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | HEROIC CHAMPION | 0.6% | 160.44 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 36
PLACE
4 15
8 78.5
13 18.5
QUINELLA
4,13 111.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 147.5
4,13 43
8,13 268.5
FORECAST
4,13 193
TIERCE
4,13,8 3,111
TRIO
4,8,13 740
FIRST 4
4,5,8,13 1,503
QUARTET
4,13,8,5 28,585
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/4 511
5/13 58
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21.5
A3 —