沙田 · 2021-06-06
第 6場
2021-06-06沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由J Moreira策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的FAIRY FLOSS勝出，贏出N。SUPER FAST獲得亞軍；LADY FIRST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FAIRY FLOSS 後段發力 CP/H 1.38.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER FAST XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 6 | 8.3 | N |
| 3 | 6 | LADY FIRST 後段發力 CP/H/XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR 後段發力 PC K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | YES WE CAN 後段發力 TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PIANO SOLO 後段發力 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS 後段發力 H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | CHATER PINS XB C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SMART FOLKS B-/P2 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 64.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER 早段領放 B T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 8 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | DOUBLE TAKE 後段發力 B K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | JADE THEATRE B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 23.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | DEAL MAKER H/TT2 N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PIANO SOLO | 17.8% | 5.61 | 6 |
| 2 | 13 | FAIRY FLOSS | 17.4% | 5.76 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | CHATER PINS | 12.1% | 8.27 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | YES WE CAN | 9.8% | 10.23 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | LADY FIRST | 9.2% | 10.85 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | DOUBLE TAKE | 7.4% | 13.44 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | JADE THEATRE | 5.6% | 17.79 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS | 4.2% | 23.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER FAST | 4.0% | 24.81 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 3.4% | 29.43 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | SMART FOLKS | 2.9% | 34.82 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | DEAL MAKER | 2.8% | 36.32 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER | 1.9% | 52.04 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS | 1.5% | 67.31 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 31.5
PLACE
6 23.5
10 29
13 15.5
QUINELLA
10,13 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 121
6,13 52
10,13 70.5
FORECAST
13,10 422
TIERCE
13,10,6 1,728
TRIO
6,10,13 500
FIRST 4
6,10,11,13 1,628
QUARTET
13,10,6,11 24,781
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 25.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/10 69
4/13 249.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,6/4,11,12/6,10,13 23,047,784
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,6/4,11,12/Any Combination 31,105