Sha Tin · 2021-06-06
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FAIRY FLOSS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with SUPER FAST second and LADY FIRST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FAIRY FLOSS Closed strongly CP/H 1.38.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER FAST XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 6 | 8.3 | N |
| 3 | 6 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly PC K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PIANO SOLO Closed strongly Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | CHATER PINS XB C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SMART FOLKS B-/P2 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 64.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER Led early B T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 8 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | JADE THEATRE B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 23.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | DEAL MAKER H/TT2 N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PIANO SOLO | 17.8% | 5.61 | 6 |
| 2 | 13 | FAIRY FLOSS | 17.4% | 5.76 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | CHATER PINS | 12.1% | 8.27 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | YES WE CAN | 9.8% | 10.23 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | LADY FIRST | 9.2% | 10.85 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | DOUBLE TAKE | 7.4% | 13.44 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | JADE THEATRE | 5.6% | 17.79 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS | 4.2% | 23.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER FAST | 4.0% | 24.81 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 3.4% | 29.43 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | SMART FOLKS | 2.9% | 34.82 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | DEAL MAKER | 2.8% | 36.32 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER | 1.9% | 52.04 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS | 1.5% | 67.31 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 31.5
PLACE
6 23.5
10 29
13 15.5
QUINELLA
10,13 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 121
6,13 52
10,13 70.5
FORECAST
13,10 422
TIERCE
13,10,6 1,728
TRIO
6,10,13 500
FIRST 4
6,10,11,13 1,628
QUARTET
13,10,6,11 24,781
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 25.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/10 69
4/13 249.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,6/4,11,12/6,10,13 23,047,784
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,6/4,11,12/Any Combination 31,105