Sha Tin · 2021-06-06
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PACKING AWARD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with ULTIMATE GLORY second and GOLDEN BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite ZONE D finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H- 1.22.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 4 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | GOLDEN BOLT SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | MONSTER KAKA Closed strongly TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | GALAXY EMPEROR B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SPARKLING STAR Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly H K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | THUNDER STOMP H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | UNICORNBABY Led early B/TT K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 10 | 8.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | ZONE D H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNDAY BETTING TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 59.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY DIAMOND Closed strongly B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 13 | 109.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | WINNING BREW CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | CORDYCEPS ONE H N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 6 | 59.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PACKING AWARD | 19.5% | 5.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 17.9% | 5.60 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | ZONE D | 17.4% | 5.73 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | UNICORNBABY | 9.8% | 10.16 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | WINNING BREW | 6.2% | 16.22 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | MONSTER KAKA | 5.5% | 18.15 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | SPARKLING STAR | 5.2% | 19.34 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN BOLT | 5.1% | 19.44 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | DARCI JOY | 4.1% | 24.48 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | THUNDER STOMP | 3.6% | 27.77 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNDAY BETTING | 1.8% | 56.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 1.6% | 61.26 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 1.2% | 86.55 | 2 |
| 14 | 7 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 1.1% | 90.12 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 49.5
PLACE
4 19
11 86
12 38.5
QUINELLA
4,11 815.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 221.5
4,12 126.5
11,12 512.5
FORECAST
4,11 1,464
TIERCE
4,11,12 14,367
TRIO
4,11,12 3,365
FIRST 4
4,5,11,12 12,421
QUARTET
4,11,12,5 218,505
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/4 359
6/11 562.5