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Sha Tin · 2021-06-06

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THE ROCK Wire to wire P- 1.33.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · C Fownes 14 12.0 2
2 0 HIGHLAND FORTUNE H N Wong · K W Lui 3 83.0 2
3 0 FLAGSHIP GLORY Closed strongly TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor 5 7.6 2-1/4
4 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 2 2.8 2-1/2
5 0 LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor 8 4.4 2-3/4
6 0 SAVAQUIN Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size 9 13.0 4-1/4
7 0 LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly SR-/XB/V1 C L Chau · D J Whyte 4 13.0 4-3/4
8 0 SUPER OASIS B-/H-/XB- B Shinn · K W Lui 7 31.0 4-3/4
9 0 SMILING TIME M L Yeung · K H Ting 1 137.0 5-3/4
10 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 10 54.0 6-3/4
11 0 AMAZING CHOCOLATE B T Piccone · D E Ferraris 6 23.0 7
12 0 BIGWOOD B-/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 11 18.0 8-1/4
13 0 CIRCUIT THREE B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 13 31.0 9
14 0 CHARITY GO SR A Badel · C S Shum 12 14.0 10-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE ROCK, ridden by C Schofield and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with HIGHLAND FORTUNE second and FLAGSHIP GLORY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite TOURBILLON DIAMOND finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE ROCK—2. HIGHLAND FORTUNE+2L3. FLAGSHIP GLORY+2.25L4. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+2.5L5. LOOKING GREAT+2.75L6. SAVAQUIN+4.25L7. LAKESHORE EAGLE+4.75L8. SUPER OASIS+4.75L9. SMILING TIME+5.75L10. SUNSHINE WARRIOR+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick LOOKING GREAT (40.8%) finished 5th — the winner THE ROCK was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LOOKING GREAT 40.8% 2.45 5
2 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 25.5% 3.92 4
3 0 FLAGSHIP GLORY 7.6% 13.14 3
4 0 THE ROCK 4.9% 20.33 1
5 0 SAVAQUIN 4.5% 22.12 6
6 0 CHARITY GO 4.0% 24.78 14
7 0 LAKESHORE EAGLE 3.0% 33.67 7
8 0 CIRCUIT THREE 2.2% 44.98 13
9 0 BIGWOOD 1.8% 55.30 12
10 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR 1.8% 56.36 10
11 0 AMAZING CHOCOLATE 1.7% 58.81 11
12 0 SUPER OASIS 1.0% 95.30 8
13 0 HIGHLAND FORTUNE 0.7% 152.13 2
14 0 SMILING TIME 0.4% 278.16 9
LOOKING GREATTOURBILLON DIAMONDFLAGSHIP GLORYTHE ROCK — wonSAVAQUINCHARITY GOLAKESHORE EAGLECIRCUIT THREEBIGWOODSUNSHINE WARRIORAMAZING CHOCOLATESUPER OASISHIGHLAND FORTUNESMILING TIME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 121

PLACE

4 38.5

10 23.5

11 161.5

QUINELLA

4,11 5,525

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 201

4,11 1,192

10,11 794

FORECAST

4,11 11,948

TIERCE

4,11,10 104,982

TRIO

4,10,11 11,460

FIRST 4

1,4,10,11 7,020

QUARTET

4,11,10,1 383,489

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 29

A2 —

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,13/4,10,11 3,219,348

9TH DOUBLE

7/4 3,650

7/11 3,140.5

SIX UP

4,11/10,13/5,10/1,10/7,13/4,11 203,753

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

10/7/4 46,358

10/7/11 35,351