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Sha Tin · 2021-06-06

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. INFINITE POWER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with LUCKY WITH YOU second and VICTORY SCHOLARS third. The 2.0 favourite VICTORY SCHOLARS finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 INFINITE POWER CP 1.08.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor 4 19.0 N
2 5 LUCKY WITH YOU C Schofield · D A Hayes 9 5.1 N
3 3 VICTORY SCHOLARS CP Z Purton · D J Hall 2 2.0 2-3/4
4 12 BREEZE OF SPRING TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 6.2 4
5 4 HEARTY WISH C L Chau · D J Whyte 6 97.0 4-3/4
6 8 SO AWESOME B/XB1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui 3 10.0 4-3/4
7 2 GOOD BEAUTY B/TT N Callan · K L Man 7 39.0 5-1/2
8 11 GENERAL TRUMP TT R Maia · T P Yung 1 76.0 6-1/4
9 1 DRAGON BABY TT A Hamelin · J Size 11 29.0 6-1/2
10 6 DURHAM STAR A Badel · P O'Sullivan 12 13.0 6-1/2
11 9 SOLAR POWER XB2 K C Leung · C H Yip 8 17.0 6-1/2
12 7 INTENTION H H W Lai · L Ho 5 197.0 22-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INFINITE POWER2. LUCKY WITH YOU+0.05L3. VICTORY SCHOLARS+2.75L4. BREEZE OF SPRING+4L5. HEARTY WISH+4.75L6. SO AWESOME+4.75L7. GOOD BEAUTY+5.5L8. GENERAL TRUMP+6.25L9. DRAGON BABY+6.5L10. DURHAM STAR+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick VICTORY SCHOLARS (36.9%) finished 3rd — the winner INFINITE POWER was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 VICTORY SCHOLARS 36.9% 2.71 3
2 8 SO AWESOME 13.4% 7.47 6
3 12 BREEZE OF SPRING 11.7% 8.55 4
4 10 INFINITE POWER 7.7% 12.99 1
5 1 DRAGON BABY 6.4% 15.57 9
6 5 LUCKY WITH YOU 6.2% 16.21 2
7 9 SOLAR POWER 5.7% 17.55 11
8 6 DURHAM STAR 5.3% 18.91 10
9 2 GOOD BEAUTY 2.5% 39.95 7
10 4 HEARTY WISH 2.4% 41.23 5
11 11 GENERAL TRUMP 1.4% 69.03 8
12 7 INTENTION 0.4% 272.00 12
VICTORY SCHOLARSSO AWESOMEBREEZE OF SPRINGINFINITE POWER — wonDRAGON BABYLUCKY WITH YOUSOLAR POWERDURHAM STARGOOD BEAUTYHEARTY WISHGENERAL TRUMPINTENTION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 193

PLACE

3 11

5 20.5

10 45

QUINELLA

5,10 479.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 27.5

3,10 55.5

5,10 107.5

FORECAST

10,5 1,375

TIERCE

10,5,3 4,155

TRIO

3,5,10 216

FIRST 4

3,5,10,12 311

QUARTET

10,5,3,12 15,768

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,10,13/3,5,10 13,571

3 PICK 1

A3 46.5

A2

A1

6TH DOUBLE

13/5 31

13/10 1,110.5