Sha Tin · 2021-06-06
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly V 1.39.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 2 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Led early V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 12 | 44.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FIGURES TWO Closed strongly T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 13 | 85.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 113.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PROUD SKY Closed strongly V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 36.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | AEROSONIC P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | KEEP WINNING P2/TT- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SPLENDID TIMING P-/B2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 33.0 | 21-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | WICKER B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 5 | 55.0 | 38-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GO BALLISTIC B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SURE WIN WIN, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with DRAGON COMMANDER second and REGENCY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite DRAGON COMMANDER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 21.3% | 4.69 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | AEROSONIC | 16.7% | 5.98 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 16.4% | 6.10 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 10.7% | 9.37 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 7.8% | 12.80 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 5.0% | 20.17 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 4.5% | 22.13 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | WICKER | 4.1% | 24.48 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 3.2% | 31.46 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SPLENDID TIMING | 3.1% | 32.50 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 2.6% | 38.46 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 1.9% | 52.36 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 1.7% | 59.54 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | FIGURES TWO | 1.1% | 94.46 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 73
PLACE
1 16
3 20
6 24.5
QUINELLA
1,6 129.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 44.5
1,6 54
3,6 68.5
FORECAST
6,1 444
TIERCE
6,1,3 1,426
TRIO
1,3,6 193
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 322
QUARTET
6,1,3,11 8,764
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/1,3,6 2,069
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 22.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 29.5
5/6 441