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Sha Tin · 2021-06-06

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.22
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly 1.21.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · C H Yip 3 12.0 SH
2 0 LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size 12 7.8 SH
3 0 PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR Z Purton · K H Ting 9 4.8 1-1/2
4 0 FLYING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 8 15.0 2-1/4
5 0 FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 4 20.0 2-1/2
6 0 THE HULK Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes 1 4.7 2-1/2
7 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 14 33.0 2-1/2
8 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes 11 14.0 3
9 0 SPLENDID LIVING N Callan · P F Yiu 7 41.0 3-1/4
10 0 MOERAKI Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang 13 22.0 3-1/4
11 0 CHEERFUL DAYS B K Teetan · K W Lui 6 5.7 3-1/2
12 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT Led early CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 5 10.0 3-1/2
13 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL B1/TT1 R Maia · T P Yung 2 119.0 3-3/4
14 0 LEWIS V-/XB-/B2/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui 10 33.0 17-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KASI FARASI, ridden by T Piccone and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with LEAP OF FAITH second and PERFECT PAIR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite THE HULK finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KASI FARASI—2. LEAP OF FAITH+0.1L3. PERFECT PAIR+1.5L4. FLYING VICTORY+2.25L5. FANTASTIC SHOW+2.5L6. THE HULK+2.5L7. TURQUOISE ALPHA+2.5L8. KING'S CAPITAL+3L9. SPLENDID LIVING+3.25L10. MOERAKI+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick THE HULK (18.6%) finished 6th — the winner KASI FARASI was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 THE HULK 18.6% 5.37 6
2 0 LEAP OF FAITH 17.3% 5.78 2
3 0 PERFECT PAIR 10.6% 9.45 3
4 0 CHEERFUL DAYS 10.1% 9.87 11
5 0 KASI FARASI 7.1% 14.16 1
6 0 FLYING VICTORY 6.8% 14.79 4
7 0 MOERAKI 5.7% 17.67 10
8 0 KING'S CAPITAL 4.2% 23.95 8
9 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 4.2% 24.08 7
10 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT 4.1% 24.29 12
11 0 SPLENDID LIVING 3.9% 25.84 9
12 0 LEWIS 3.2% 31.67 14
13 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL 2.4% 42.02 13
14 0 FANTASTIC SHOW 2.0% 49.62 5
THE HULKLEAP OF FAITHPERFECT PAIRCHEERFUL DAYSKASI FARASI — wonFLYING VICTORYMOERAKIKING'S CAPITALTURQUOISE ALPHABEAUTY SPIRITSPLENDID LIVINGLEWISPERFECT MARYKNOLLFANTASTIC SHOW

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 120

PLACE

6 18

7 36.5

13 28

QUINELLA

7,13 593

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 132.5

6,13 61

7,13 189.5

FORECAST

7,13 1,218

TIERCE

7,13,6 6,366

TRIO

6,7,13 811

FIRST 4

6,7,12,13 1,577

QUARTET

7,13,6,12 46,433

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 19.5

A1 —

A2 —

8TH DOUBLE

10/7 4,649

10/13 300