Sha Tin · 2021-06-06
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KASI FARASI, ridden by T Piccone and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with LEAP OF FAITH second and PERFECT PAIR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite THE HULK finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly 1.21.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 3 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 7.8 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 9 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FLYING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | THE HULK Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | SPLENDID LIVING N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 7 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MOERAKI Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 13 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CHEERFUL DAYS B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 6 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Led early CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B1/TT1 R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 2 | 119.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | LEWIS V-/XB-/B2/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 33.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE HULK | 18.6% | 5.37 | 6 |
| 2 | 13 | LEAP OF FAITH | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | PERFECT PAIR | 10.6% | 9.45 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 10.1% | 9.87 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | KASI FARASI | 7.1% | 14.16 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | FLYING VICTORY | 6.8% | 14.79 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | MOERAKI | 5.7% | 17.67 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL | 4.2% | 23.95 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 4.2% | 24.08 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 4.1% | 24.29 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | SPLENDID LIVING | 3.9% | 25.84 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | LEWIS | 3.2% | 31.67 | 14 |
| 13 | 4 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 2.4% | 42.02 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 2.0% | 49.62 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 120
PLACE
6 18
7 36.5
13 28
QUINELLA
7,13 593
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 132.5
6,13 61
7,13 189.5
FORECAST
7,13 1,218
TIERCE
7,13,6 6,366
TRIO
6,7,13 811
FIRST 4
6,7,12,13 1,577
QUARTET
7,13,6,12 46,433
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 19.5
8TH DOUBLE
10/7 4,649
10/13 300