Sha Tin · 2021-06-06
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-06 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MOON PEAKS, ridden by H W Lai and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/2, with FOR FUN'S SAKE second and FOX CHEUNGER third. The 2.6 favourite UNIVERSAL CROWN finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MOON PEAKS B/H 1.09.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE E/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 9 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | MANY GAINS CP1/TT- R Maia · L Ho | R Maia | L Ho | 3 | 67.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | GLORIOUS BUDDY K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 4 | 64.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER KIN TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TIGERLAD B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 7 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | FOCUS CP B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | THE ELITES CP1/TT N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 12 | 60.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CRUCIATUS XB-/B1/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 6 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 25.0% | 4.01 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | NOBLE MAN | 23.2% | 4.31 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER KIN | 9.8% | 10.21 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | MOON PEAKS | 8.2% | 12.20 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | TIGERLAD | 8.0% | 12.47 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 6.9% | 14.48 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | FOCUS | 4.9% | 20.45 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER | 3.9% | 25.37 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | CRUCIATUS | 3.3% | 30.22 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | MANY GAINS | 3.1% | 31.98 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | THE ELITES | 2.0% | 50.78 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.7% | 59.21 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 101
PLACE
5 28
9 41
12 18.5
QUINELLA
5,12 272.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 149
5,12 85
9,12 107
FORECAST
5,12 613
TIERCE
5,12,9 5,398
TRIO
5,9,12 749
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 1,054
QUARTET
5,12,9,3 29,480
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26.5