沙田 · 2021-06-06
第 1場
2021-06-06沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H W Lai策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的MOON PEAKS勝出，贏出1-1/2。FOR FUN'S SAKE獲得亞軍；FOX CHEUNGER獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門UNIVERSAL CROWN跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MOON PEAKS B/H 1.09.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE E/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 9 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | MANY GAINS CP1/TT- R Maia · L Ho | R Maia | L Ho | 3 | 67.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | GLORIOUS BUDDY K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 4 | 64.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER KIN TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TIGERLAD B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 7 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | FOCUS CP B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | THE ELITES CP1/TT N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 12 | 60.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CRUCIATUS XB-/B1/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 6 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 25.0% | 4.01 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | NOBLE MAN | 23.2% | 4.31 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER KIN | 9.8% | 10.21 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | MOON PEAKS | 8.2% | 12.20 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | TIGERLAD | 8.0% | 12.47 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 6.9% | 14.48 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | FOCUS | 4.9% | 20.45 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER | 3.9% | 25.37 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | CRUCIATUS | 3.3% | 30.22 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | MANY GAINS | 3.1% | 31.98 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | THE ELITES | 2.0% | 50.78 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.7% | 59.21 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 101
PLACE
5 28
9 41
12 18.5
QUINELLA
5,12 272.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 149
5,12 85
9,12 107
FORECAST
5,12 613
TIERCE
5,12,9 5,398
TRIO
5,9,12 749
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 1,054
QUARTET
5,12,9,3 29,480
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26.5