沙田 · 2021-07-01
第 3場
2021-07-01沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、A S Cruz訓練的STREET SCREAM勝出，贏出1-1/2。MY ECSTATIC獲得亞軍；WINSTON'S LAD獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門MY ECSTATIC跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STREET SCREAM H1/TT1 1.09.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | TAKINGUFURTHER V H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MONSTER KAKA TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 5.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | AUGUST MOON B-/BO1 H Bentley · P O'Sullivan | H Bentley | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | BOOMING WELL TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 2 | 140.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY GATHERING B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 7.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 9 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VAST STARLIGHT H/TT1 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 179.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FANTASY SPRING H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 90.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GENERAL TRUMP TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 10 | 39.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC | 25.4% | 3.93 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | MONSTER KAKA | 19.5% | 5.13 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY GATHERING | 10.3% | 9.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | STREET SCREAM | 9.6% | 10.41 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY | 9.2% | 10.90 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | AUGUST MOON | 8.2% | 12.23 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD | 6.6% | 15.07 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | GENERAL TRUMP | 3.4% | 29.49 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | FANTASY SPRING | 2.7% | 36.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | BOOMING WELL | 2.3% | 43.90 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 2.1% | 48.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | VAST STARLIGHT | 0.8% | 128.23 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 73.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 17.5
7 26.5
QUINELLA
1,7 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 49.5
1,7 61.5
2,7 72.5
FORECAST
7,1 506
TIERCE
7,1,2 1,627
TRIO
1,2,7 214
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 1,673
QUARTET
7,1,2,8 33,138
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 74.5
9/7 514
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 30
A3 —