沙田 · 2021-07-01
第 4場
2021-07-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的SUMMIT CHEERS勝出，贏出1-1/2。INFINITY WIN獲得亞軍；GLENEALY GENERALS獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門INFINITY WIN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT1 0.55.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | INFINITY WIN M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | GLENEALY GENERALS B2 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | JOYFUL WIN B C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 4 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 96.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | EVER JOY XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 92.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | GREEN ENVY V/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | RAGING BLAZE P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 57.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | REGENCY STAR B1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | GLORIOUS BAUHINIA H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 210.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | DIVINE ERA H- N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 2 | 23.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 22.2% | 4.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | JOYFUL WIN | 13.7% | 7.30 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 10.6% | 9.45 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | GREEN ENVY | 9.7% | 10.33 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | REGENCY STAR | 8.3% | 12.10 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | DIVINE ERA | 6.4% | 15.57 | 14 |
| 7 | 7 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 5.4% | 18.38 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | RAGING BLAZE | 4.2% | 23.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | INFINITY WIN | 4.1% | 24.29 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 3.7% | 26.77 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP | 3.4% | 29.69 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY | 3.2% | 30.87 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | GLORIOUS BAUHINIA | 3.2% | 31.20 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | EVER JOY | 1.8% | 56.35 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 38.5
PLACE
2 14.5
4 12
7 37.5
QUINELLA
2,4 41
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 22
2,7 92.5
4,7 71.5
FORECAST
2,4 136
TIERCE
2,4,7 947
TRIO
2,4,7 203
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 396
QUARTET
2,4,7,1 5,577
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/2,4,7 6,354
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 348.5
7/4 34.5