沙田 · 2021-07-01
第 9場
2021-07-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的BIG FORTUNE勝出，贏出N。THE GOLDEN SCENERY獲得亞軍；SPEEDY MOUSE獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門SPEEDY MOUSE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB 1.08.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 5 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.4 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 2 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | EXCELLENT DADDY K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | CHICKEN DANCE CP M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | KING'S CAPITAL CP-/XB- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX B- T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 5 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | NOBLE STEED B V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 10 | 79.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPECIAL M B/TT H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 7 | 73.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | ROYAL AGILITY TT C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 233.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 31.3% | 3.20 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 21.8% | 4.58 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY | 12.1% | 8.27 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE | 7.8% | 12.74 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | CHICKEN DANCE | 7.7% | 13.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO | 5.8% | 17.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 4.9% | 20.59 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | KING'S CAPITAL | 2.7% | 37.56 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SPECIAL M | 2.3% | 43.10 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | NOBLE STEED | 1.9% | 51.61 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | ROYAL AGILITY | 0.9% | 108.23 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | CIRCUIT SIX | 0.8% | 129.82 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 62
PLACE
2 14
3 16.5
5 17.5
QUINELLA
3,5 143.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 33
2,5 25.5
3,5 54
FORECAST
3,5 400
TIERCE
3,5,2 983
TRIO
2,3,5 86
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 189
QUARTET
3,5,2,1 7,741
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 31.5
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
12/3 1,306.5
12/5 185.5