沙田 · 2021-07-01
第 6場
2021-07-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的DRAGON COMMANDER勝出，贏出3/4。TAILOR MADE獲得亞軍；JOYFUL HEART獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門STUNNING IMPACT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DRAGON COMMANDER 後段發力 B 1.47.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | JOYFUL HEART 後段發力 CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MORE THAN A HORSE 後段發力 B/SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CROWN AVENUE V T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 8 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | RED ELYSEES 後段發力 B H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | OFF THE REEL P-/XB H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 7 | 83.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | CLEMENT LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 13 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | DIVINE UNICORN B-/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 12 | 52.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | DIONYSUS COLLIN 後段發力 P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 57.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | BULLISH UNICORN 早段領放 CP/H/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 10 | 77.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SHADOW BREAKER SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 9.8 | 20-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 27.3% | 3.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 12.3% | 8.15 | 10 |
| 3 | 13 | TAILOR MADE | 12.1% | 8.25 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL HEART | 9.2% | 10.91 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | STUNNING IMPACT | 7.4% | 13.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | RED ELYSEES | 5.7% | 17.57 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 5.2% | 19.22 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | SHADOW BREAKER | 4.6% | 21.54 | 14 |
| 9 | 6 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 4.3% | 23.39 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.0% | 24.92 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | HANG'S DECISION | 3.2% | 31.53 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | OFF THE REEL | 2.4% | 40.97 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | CROWN AVENUE | 1.4% | 70.10 | 6 |
| 14 | 7 | BULLISH UNICORN | 0.8% | 119.39 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 66
PLACE
2 22
13 25
14 26
QUINELLA
13,14 250
QUINELLA PLACE
2,13 80.5
2,14 81
13,14 80
FORECAST
14,13 524
TIERCE
14,13,2 2,735
TRIO
2,13,14 492
FIRST 4
2,9,13,14 403
QUARTET
14,13,2,9 12,088
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 19
5TH DOUBLE
1/13 42.5
1/14 485.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,7/1,2,10/2,13,14 461,442
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,7/1,2,10/Any Combination 641