Sha Tin · 2021-07-01
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B 1.47.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 8 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | OFF THE REEL P-/XB H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 7 | 83.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 13 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN B-/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 12 | 52.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 57.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | BULLISH UNICORN Led early CP/H/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 10 | 77.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 9.8 | 20-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DRAGON COMMANDER, ridden by H T Mo and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with TAILOR MADE second and JOYFUL HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite STUNNING IMPACT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 27.3% | 3.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 12.3% | 8.15 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 12.1% | 8.25 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 9.2% | 10.91 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 7.4% | 13.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 5.7% | 17.57 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 5.2% | 19.22 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 4.6% | 21.54 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 4.3% | 23.39 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.0% | 24.92 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 3.2% | 31.53 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 2.4% | 40.97 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 1.4% | 70.10 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | BULLISH UNICORN | 0.8% | 119.39 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 66
PLACE
2 22
13 25
14 26
QUINELLA
13,14 250
QUINELLA PLACE
2,13 80.5
2,14 81
13,14 80
FORECAST
14,13 524
TIERCE
14,13,2 2,735
TRIO
2,13,14 492
FIRST 4
2,9,13,14 403
QUARTET
14,13,2,9 12,088
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 19
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/13 42.5
1/14 485.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,7/1,2,10/2,13,14 461,442
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,7/1,2,10/Any Combination 641