Sha Tin · 2021-07-01
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. EXCELLENT CHARIOT, ridden by N Callan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with GREAT HARVEST second and AMIGOS GIGGLE third. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT 1.08.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GREAT HARVEST K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | AMIGOS GIGGLE Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | TOUCH FAITH B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | INFINITE POWER CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SPARKLING STAR E1/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 9.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 40.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | XPONENTIAL CP-/SR/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.7 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | THETA HEDGE H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY TREASURE H1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 126.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | TELECOM ELITE B-/PC1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 112.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | AION CP V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 9 | 141.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TOUCH FAITH | 30.6% | 3.27 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | INFINITE POWER | 14.9% | 6.72 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | GREAT HARVEST | 13.3% | 7.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | SPARKLING STAR | 9.1% | 10.96 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 8.7% | 11.55 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | XPONENTIAL | 8.5% | 11.71 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 6.8% | 14.79 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | THETA HEDGE | 4.0% | 24.83 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 2.0% | 51.25 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | TELECOM ELITE | 1.3% | 79.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | AION | 0.6% | 175.44 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY TREASURE | 0.4% | 262.48 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 45
PLACE
1 16
2 22.5
10 19
QUINELLA
1,10 147
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 45.5
1,10 48
2,10 76
FORECAST
1,10 239
TIERCE
1,10,2 1,472
TRIO
1,2,10 293
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 276
QUARTET
1,10,2,6 6,207
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 17.5
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 159
2/10 66