Sha Tin · 2021-07-01
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER FOOTBALL, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with FLYING QUEST second and BERLIN TANGO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite LOOKING GREAT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER FOOTBALL Closed strongly 1.47.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 1 | 5.6 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 3 | 51.0 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.8 | N |
| 4 | 9 | LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | CHARITY GO SR Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 4 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly V/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | ENJOYING Led early B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 2 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SUNNY STAR K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 5.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | BIGWOOD TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 106.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 19.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LOOKING GREAT | 27.0% | 3.70 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | SUNNY STAR | 25.7% | 3.89 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 14.1% | 7.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | CHARITY GO | 9.7% | 10.28 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 6.3% | 15.92 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO | 5.8% | 17.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 3.7% | 26.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 2.7% | 37.46 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | FLYING QUEST | 2.0% | 49.67 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | BIGWOOD | 1.5% | 65.33 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | ENJOYING | 1.4% | 69.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 56.5
PLACE
4 23
6 99.5
8 18.5
QUINELLA
6,8 1,221
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 550
4,8 77
6,8 272.5
FORECAST
8,6 1,457
TIERCE
8,6,4 19,342
TRIO
4,6,8 2,698
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 1,002
QUARTET
8,6,4,9 40,570
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,13,14/4,6,8 253,642
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25
6TH DOUBLE
14/6 708
14/8 398.5