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Sha Tin · 2021-07-01

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1800m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER FOOTBALL Closed strongly 1.47.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K H Ting 1 5.6 HD
2 0 FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B H Bentley · D J Hall 3 51.0 HD
3 0 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 6 6.8 N
4 0 LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor 11 2.3 1
5 0 CHARITY GO SR Z Purton · C S Shum 5 10.0 2-3/4
6 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 4 28.0 3-3/4
7 0 LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly V/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 10 27.0 4
8 0 ENJOYING Led early B/TT T Piccone · W Y So 2 19.0 4-1/4
9 0 SUNNY STAR K Teetan · K W Lui 8 5.9 4-1/2
10 0 BIGWOOD TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 7 106.0 4-3/4
11 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 9 19.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER FOOTBALL, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with FLYING QUEST second and BERLIN TANGO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite LOOKING GREAT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER FOOTBALL—2. FLYING QUEST+0.2L3. BERLIN TANGO+0.05L4. LOOKING GREAT+1L5. CHARITY GO+2.75L6. DELIGHTFUL LAOS+3.75L7. LAKESHORE EAGLE+4L8. ENJOYING+4.25L9. SUNNY STAR+4.5L10. BIGWOOD+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick LOOKING GREAT (27.0%) finished 4th — the winner SUPER FOOTBALL was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LOOKING GREAT 27.0% 3.70 4
2 0 SUNNY STAR 25.7% 3.89 9
3 0 SUPER FOOTBALL 14.1% 7.08 1
4 0 CHARITY GO 9.7% 10.28 5
5 0 LAKESHORE EAGLE 6.3% 15.92 7
6 0 BERLIN TANGO 5.8% 17.27 3
7 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR 3.7% 26.72 11
8 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 2.7% 37.46 6
9 0 FLYING QUEST 2.0% 49.67 2
10 0 BIGWOOD 1.5% 65.33 10
11 0 ENJOYING 1.4% 69.89 8
LOOKING GREATSUNNY STARSUPER FOOTBALL — wonCHARITY GOLAKESHORE EAGLEBERLIN TANGOHELENE LEADINGSTARDELIGHTFUL LAOSFLYING QUESTBIGWOODENJOYING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 56.5

PLACE

4 23

6 99.5

8 18.5

QUINELLA

6,8 1,221

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 550

4,8 77

6,8 272.5

FORECAST

8,6 1,457

TIERCE

8,6,4 19,342

TRIO

4,6,8 2,698

FIRST 4

4,6,8,9 1,002

QUARTET

8,6,4,9 40,570

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,13,14/4,6,8 253,642

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 25

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

14/6 708

14/8 398.5