Sha Tin · 2021-07-01
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly B 1.22.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 20.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 8.2 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | AWE Closed strongly B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly H/B1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | THUNDERSTRIKE H C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SWIFT SPIRIT B-/XB-/TT- H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 57.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS Closed strongly C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL Closed strongly H/XB H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 14 | 71.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | ARMOR STAR V-/CP1 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 6 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ENJOY MY LIFE B-/XB/TT- M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 8 | 247.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 0 | GALLANT CAVALIER B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 11 | 203.0 | 15-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ULTIMATE GLORY, ridden by H W Lai and trained by K L Man, won by HD, with JADE PHOENIX second and SPEED FAY FAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SPEED FAY FAY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS | 21.4% | 4.67 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 19.3% | 5.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 15.3% | 6.54 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX | 11.2% | 8.94 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | AWE | 10.2% | 9.80 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.1% | 24.26 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 3.9% | 25.62 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 3.7% | 26.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | ARMOR STAR | 3.2% | 31.63 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | DURHAM STAR | 2.3% | 43.15 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.8% | 55.79 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 1.6% | 61.06 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 1.5% | 67.86 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | ENJOY MY LIFE | 0.5% | 215.46 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 201
PLACE
1 26
3 15.5
12 45
QUINELLA
1,12 710
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 55
1,12 191
3,12 94.5
FORECAST
12,1 1,593
TIERCE
12,1,3 6,593
TRIO
1,3,12 642
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 820
QUARTET
12,1,3,4 31,166
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 26
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/1 138
8/12 1,004